Growth, Quality and Momentum factors drive world equity market returns

Global Equity – Developed Markets.

  • Growth momentum and quality factor premiums highly persistent over 3, 6 and 12 months
  • Value factors underperform, led by dividend yield and earnings yield
  • Medium-term Momentum recorded the highest positive premium globally over the 12-month period followed by Forecast FY 1 revisions and Forecast Growth 12 months.
Emerging Market Equity trends similar to world equities…..

  • High level of persistence in Growth, Momentum and Quality factor premiums over 3, 6 and 12 month periods to 31.3.18
  • ROE, Forecast FY1 Revisions and Earnings Growth produce highest premiums over 12 and 6 months
  • Value factors underperform consistently over12 months, 3 and 6-month drawdowns much smaller and mixed
  • Medium and Short-term Momentum factors deliver positive return premiums
  • Earnings growth stability deliver strong positive returns within quality segment
As was the evidence from Asian Equities markets…..

  • High level of persistence in Growth, Momentum and Quality factor premiums over 3, 6 and 12-month periods to 31.3.18.
  • ROE, Forecast FY1 Revisions, Earnings Growth and Sales Growth produce highest premiums over 12 and 6 months.
  • Value factors underperform consistently over12, 6 and 3 months, Dividend yield and Book yield amongst the worst performers.
  • Earnings and Returns stability amongst the best performers within quality.
And the Australian Equity market.

  • Growth and Momentum factors outperform over various time periods.
  • Forecast 12 m Growth, Forecast FY1 revisions and Sales Growth amongst strongest performers.
  • Value factor underperformance highly consistent across time and factor types, Dividend yield was the worst performer.
  • Quality factors generally underperform, Debt to Equity experienced largest drawdowns.

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